Overall Hand Outcomes
42.22%
Player Wins
49.10%
Dealer Wins
8.48%
Push (Tie)
*Based on optimal basic strategy play with 8 decks
Blackjack Probability
4.83%
Your Blackjack Chance
Probability of being dealt a natural blackjack (Ace + 10-value card)
4.83%
Dealer Blackjack Chance
Same probability applies to the dealer getting blackjack
Blackjack Scenarios
- Both player and dealer get blackjack (push)0.23%
- Only player gets blackjack (player wins 3:2)4.60%
- Only dealer gets blackjack (player loses)4.60%
Bust Probabilities by Hand Value
Understanding bust risk is crucial for making optimal hit/stand decisions:
21
100%
20
92%
19
85%
18
77%
17
69%
16
62%
15
58%
14
56%
13
39%
12
31%
11 or less
0%
Dealer Bust Probability by Upcard
The dealer's upcard significantly affects their bust probability:
| Dealer Upcard | Bust Probability | Classification |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 35.30% | Weak |
| 3 | 37.56% | Weak |
| 4 | 40.28% | Very Weak |
| 5 | 42.89% | Very Weak |
| 6 | 42.08% | Very Weak |
| 7 | 25.99% | Neutral |
| 8 | 23.86% | Strong |
| 9 | 23.34% | Strong |
| 10/J/Q/K | 21.43% | Strong |
| Ace | 11.65% | Very Strong |