Independent real-time comparison of certified vs. observed return-to-player rates across 16+ live casino games. All data sourced from our continuous monitoring infrastructure.
Total Rounds Analyzed
1.7M
across all time windows
Games Monitored
29
with live data collection
Data Windows
7 / 30 / 90d
rolling analysis periods
Published RTP figures sourced from official Evolution Gaming and Pragmatic Play certified mathematics documentation. Observed metrics calculated from our own round-by-round data collection. This page does not constitute financial advice.
Sorted by sample size. Games with more observed rounds provide higher confidence.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
98.39%
expected: 100%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
406.1x
max: 1000x
Sample Size
71.9K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
98.31%
30d
98.39%
90d
98.45%
Random multipliers applied every round to selected bet types. RTP varies by bet type from 95.02% to 97.22%.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
31.5%
expected: 100%
Deviation
-68.50% below
Avg Multiplier
7.5x
max: 1000x
Sample Size
68.4K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
31.52%
30d
31.5%
90d
31.23%
Lightning multipliers apply each round to random dice totals. Three dice produce totals from 3 to 18.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
11.33%
expected: 11.11%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
2.66x
max: 88x
Sample Size
64.6K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
11.34%
30d
11.33%
90d
11.47%
Dice-based baccarat. RTP of 97.85% is for the Player/Banker bet. Tie bet RTP is significantly lower.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
15.31%
expected: 14.81%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
1.63x
max: 8x
Sample Size
63.1K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
15.09%
30d
15.31%
90d
14.79%
Lightning cards appear each round with multipliers up to 512x. RTP of 98.76% is for the Banker bet (after 20% lightning fee).
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
3.51%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
4.71x
max: 280x
Sample Size
61.4K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
2.95%
30d
3.51%
90d
3.56%
No dedicated bonus round. Multiplier segments (2x, 7x) multiply the next winning segment.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
7.32%
expected: 100%
Deviation
-92.68% below
Avg Multiplier
9.01x
max: 500x
Sample Size
60.9K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
7.55%
30d
7.32%
90d
7.37%
Lightning numbers appear each round with multipliers of 50x-500x. RTP of 97.30% applies to standard bets; straight-up bets with lightning multipliers have a lower base payout (30:1 instead of 35:1).
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
16.38%
expected: 14.79%
Deviation
+1.59% above
Avg Multiplier
11.7x
max: 5000x
Sample Size
60.1K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
16.38%
30d
16.38%
90d
16.54%
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
10.7%
expected: 10%
Deviation
+0.70% above
Avg Multiplier
7.55x
max: 500x
Sample Size
59.1K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
10.73%
30d
10.7%
90d
10.73%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
0%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
1x
max: 1x
Sample Size
58.0K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
0%
30d
0%
90d
0%
Coin-flip base game with qualification round and top-up multiplier phase. RTP based on optimal play.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
8.99%
expected: 10.7%
Deviation
-1.71% below
Avg Multiplier
4.43x
max: 523x
Sample Size
56.8K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
9.32%
30d
8.99%
90d
8.83%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
10.73%
expected: 100%
Deviation
-89.27% below
Avg Multiplier
18.23x
max: 1500x
Sample Size
56.8K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
9.96%
30d
10.73%
90d
10.68%
Enhanced lightning multipliers every round. Chain lightning can stack multipliers up to 2,000x. Straight-up base payout reduced to 29:1.
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
11.94%
expected: 12.96%
Deviation
-1.02% below
Avg Multiplier
5.34x
max: 1014x
Sample Size
55.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
12.32%
30d
11.94%
90d
11.94%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
18.59%
expected: 20.37%
Deviation
-1.78% below
Avg Multiplier
16.29x
max: 648x
Sample Size
46.1K
High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
18.66%
30d
18.59%
90d
18.78%
Evolution Gaming
Evolution Gaming
Player-selected treasure hunt format. RTP varies based on stone selection strategy.
Evolution Gaming
Bingo-style game. RTP varies by number of cards purchased (1-200). Published RTP of 95.40% is the theoretical maximum.
The theoretical Return-to-Player percentage as certified by independent testing laboratories and published in the game provider's official mathematics documentation. This represents the long-term statistical expectation over millions of rounds under perfect conditions.
Metrics calculated from our continuous round-by-round data collection. We record every spin result, multiplier, and bonus trigger from live game feeds. "Observed Bonus Rate" measures how frequently bonus rounds trigger compared to the provider's theoretical rate.
A composite score (0-100) measuring how closely observed bonus frequency matches the theoretical expectation. Scores above 90 indicate excellent alignment. The score is derived from the percentage deviation between observed and expected bonus trigger rates.
Statistical confidence increases with sample size. Games with fewer than 1,000 observed rounds should be interpreted with caution -- short-term variance can produce significant deviations from theoretical values. Games with 10,000+ rounds offer high-confidence metrics.