Independent real-time comparison of certified vs. observed return-to-player rates across 16+ live casino games. All data sourced from our continuous monitoring infrastructure.
Total Rounds Analyzed
3.1M
across all time windows
Games Monitored
30
with live data collection
Data Windows
7 / 30 / 90d
rolling analysis periods
Published RTP figures sourced from official Evolution Gaming and Pragmatic Play certified mathematics documentation. Observed metrics calculated from our own round-by-round data collection. This page does not constitute financial advice.
Sorted by sample size. Games with more observed rounds provide higher confidence.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
98.24%
expected: 100%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
399.75x
max: 1000x
Sample Size
131.7K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
98.28%
30d
98.24%
90d
98.47%
Random multipliers applied every round to selected bet types. RTP varies by bet type from 95.02% to 97.22%.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
14.66%
expected: 14.81%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
1.6x
max: 8x
Sample Size
123.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
15.49%
30d
14.66%
90d
14.83%
Lightning cards appear each round with multipliers up to 512x. RTP of 98.76% is for the Banker bet (after 20% lightning fee).
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
11.57%
expected: 11.11%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
2.59x
max: 88x
Sample Size
119.6K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
11.49%
30d
11.57%
90d
11.46%
Dice-based baccarat. RTP of 97.85% is for the Player/Banker bet. Tie bet RTP is significantly lower.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
3.56%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
4.52x
max: 980x
Sample Size
116.1K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
3.22%
30d
3.56%
90d
3.61%
No dedicated bonus round. Multiplier segments (2x, 7x) multiply the next winning segment.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
30.8%
expected: 100%
Deviation
-69.20% below
Avg Multiplier
7.71x
max: 1000x
Sample Size
115.0K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
31.08%
30d
30.8%
90d
31.28%
Lightning multipliers apply each round to random dice totals. Three dice produce totals from 3 to 18.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
7.26%
expected: 100%
Deviation
-92.74% below
Avg Multiplier
8.98x
max: 500x
Sample Size
113.7K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
7.6%
30d
7.26%
90d
7.36%
Lightning numbers appear each round with multipliers of 50x-500x. RTP of 97.30% applies to standard bets; straight-up bets with lightning multipliers have a lower base payout (30:1 instead of 35:1).
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
10.77%
expected: 10%
Deviation
+0.77% above
Avg Multiplier
7.69x
max: 500x
Sample Size
112.6K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
11.11%
30d
10.77%
90d
10.73%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
16.08%
expected: 14.79%
Deviation
+1.29% above
Avg Multiplier
11.88x
max: 7500x
Sample Size
112.0K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
15.09%
30d
16.08%
90d
15.52%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
10.6%
expected: 100%
Deviation
-89.40% below
Avg Multiplier
19.21x
max: 2000x
Sample Size
103.6K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
10.43%
30d
10.6%
90d
10.65%
Enhanced lightning multipliers every round. Chain lightning can stack multipliers up to 2,000x. Straight-up base payout reduced to 29:1.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
9.03%
expected: 10.7%
Deviation
-1.67% below
Avg Multiplier
4.45x
max: 670x
Sample Size
101.9K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
9.1%
30d
9.03%
90d
8.83%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
0%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
1x
max: 1x
Sample Size
100.7K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
0%
30d
0%
90d
0%
Coin-flip base game with qualification round and top-up multiplier phase. RTP based on optimal play.
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
11.77%
expected: 12.96%
Deviation
-1.19% below
Avg Multiplier
5.46x
max: 1028x
Sample Size
97.5K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
10.93%
30d
11.77%
90d
11.92%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
19.01%
expected: 20.37%
Deviation
-1.36% below
Avg Multiplier
16.51x
max: 1046x
Sample Size
67.0K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
19.32%
30d
19.01%
90d
18.71%
Evolution Gaming
Evolution Gaming
Player-selected treasure hunt format. RTP varies based on stone selection strategy.
Evolution Gaming
Bingo-style game. RTP varies by number of cards purchased (1-200). Published RTP of 95.40% is the theoretical maximum.
The theoretical Return-to-Player percentage as certified by independent testing laboratories and published in the game provider's official mathematics documentation. This represents the long-term statistical expectation over millions of rounds under perfect conditions.
Metrics calculated from our continuous round-by-round data collection. We record every spin result, multiplier, and bonus trigger from live game feeds. "Observed Bonus Rate" measures how frequently bonus rounds trigger compared to the provider's theoretical rate.
A composite score (0-100) measuring how closely observed bonus frequency matches the theoretical expectation. Scores above 90 indicate excellent alignment. The score is derived from the percentage deviation between observed and expected bonus trigger rates.
Statistical confidence increases with sample size. Games with fewer than 1,000 observed rounds should be interpreted with caution -- short-term variance can produce significant deviations from theoretical values. Games with 10,000+ rounds offer high-confidence metrics.