Ice Fishing Live Stats & Results: Reading a 53-Segment Speed Wheel Through 392,000 Rounds

Ice Fishing is Evolution's speed game show: a virtual 53-segment wheel, a betting window of roughly 12 to 15 seconds, and a settled round about every 27 seconds. That pace is the reason our Ice Fishing tracker has logged 392,156 rounds since 7 January 2026, more than most of the slower wheels we follow. This page explains what a stored round contains, what the multiplier column does and does not mean, how the 53 sectors compare with theory over the last 90 days, and how to read the fish, drought and probability widgets without fooling yourself. For the rules themselves start with the Ice Fishing guide.

How fast does the Ice Fishing tracker fill up?

Roughly 2,400 rounds a day. The last 30 days produced 73,998 rounds and the last 90 days 145,339, which is a rate no ordinary game show matches.

The speed changes how you should read every window on the live page. A 24-hour view of Ice Fishing already holds more spins than a week of a slower wheel, so daily deviations are smaller than you may be used to. On the other hand, a "drought" of 300 spins that would take five hours on a one-minute wheel takes a little over two hours here. Spin counts, not clock time, are the honest unit, and the tracker reports gaps in spins for that reason.

The volume by hour is nearly flat. Our heatmap shows a mild bulge between 12:00 and 17:00 UTC, but because the studio runs the same cadence around the clock the difference is small. Busy hours in Ice Fishing mean marginally more rounds, not different odds.

What is stored for each Ice Fishing spin?

Each row holds the result name, a multiplier value, a bonus flag, a timestamp and a small details object with the wheel sector.

The result is one of five outcomes: Leaf 1, Leaf 2, Lil' Blues, Big Oranges or Huge Reds. The details object records wheel_sector, a wheel_type of either EvoLeaf or Bonus, and a sector_id from 1 to 53. Huge Reds is sector 1. Those sector ids let us confirm the wheel layout independently of the published rules: counting distinct sector ids by result gives 23 Leaf 1, 23 Leaf 2, 4 Lil' Blues, 2 Big Oranges and 1 Huge Reds, exactly as Evolution states.

One thing we do not keep. The feed carries a field indicating whether the pre-spin bonus boost matched the fish that was spun. We store the resulting multiplier but not that flag, so the tracker cannot tell you how often a boost "landed" as a separate statistic. It shows up only indirectly, in the size of the fish result.

What does the multiplier column actually mean?

It is the highest multiplier in the round, taken from the feed's maximum-multiplier field. It is a ceiling for that spin, not an average payout and not a sum.

On a leaf spin the value is 1 when the wheel stopped on an ordinary leaf segment and the bet paid even money. It is 3, 4, 5, 7 or 10 when the wheel stopped on the one leaf segment that carried a boost before the spin. On a fish spin the value is the largest multiplier awarded in that bonus round, with the boost already applied. A player who bet on that fish may have collected less than the top figure, and a player who bet on a leaf collected nothing.

The reason this matters is that the figures are tempting to misuse. Leaves land about 44% of the time and the average leaf multiplier is 1.35x; multiplying those together and calling it a return would produce a number above the published 97.10% RTP, which is impossible. The same trap exists for fish: 7.27% of rounds landed Lil' Blues with an average top multiplier of 10.8x, and that product is not the return on a Lil' Blues bet either. Treat the column as "the best thing that happened on this spin" and nothing more. The RTP page covers how the real returns are built.

Did the 53 sectors land as often as they should?

Close, with the leaves a fraction over theory and every fish a fraction under. The table covers 145,339 rounds from the last 90 days.

Result	Sectors	Theoretical share	Observed (90 days)	Difference (points)
Leaf 1	23	43.40%	44.02%	+0.62
Leaf 2	23	43.40%	44.13%	+0.73
Lil' Blues	4	7.55%	7.27%	-0.28
Big Oranges	2	3.77%	3.33%	-0.44
Huge Reds	1	1.89%	1.25%	-0.64

Add the fish together and the 90-day bonus share is 11.85% against a 13.21% theory; the 30-day figure is 11.83%. Both leaves absorbed the difference. Those are the kinds of deviations a fair wheel produces over this sample size at the low-probability end, and they are also large enough that the segment statistics widget shows a visible red bar on the fish rows. The next section deals with what that bar does and does not mean. For the cross-game view see the RTP monitor and the fairness index.

Why is Huge Reds running under theory?

Because a 1-in-53 event is the noisiest thing on the wheel, and 90 days is not long enough to pin it down to a few hundredths of a point.

The numbers: 1,818 Huge Reds hits against 2,745 expected, a shortfall of 927 over 145,339 spins. That is a real gap, larger than we usually see for a single segment, and it is fair to call it noticeable. It is not evidence of a rigged wheel. Ice Fishing's wheel is virtual, generated by Evolution's certified random number system, and the pattern here (all three fish slightly under, both leaves slightly over) is consistent with sampling drift on rare outcomes rather than a structural fault. Big Oranges is 0.44 points under and Lil' Blues 0.28 under, which is the ordering you would expect if rarity alone drives the noise.

Two ways to keep this in proportion. First, the all-time window on the tracker holds 392,156 rounds, and the fish shares in that view sit closer to theory than the 90-day view. Second, the sector ids prove the wheel physically contains one Huge Reds segment out of 53, so the long-run rate has nowhere to go but 1.89%. We will keep reporting the observed figure as it stands; if it has not converged after a few hundred thousand more rounds, that would be worth writing about.

How often does a leaf win carry a boost?

About one leaf win in ten. Over the last 90 days a boosted leaf segment was spun in 10.7% of leaf rounds.

Before each spin one random leaf segment receives a multiplier of 3x, 4x, 5x, 7x or 10x. With 46 leaf segments and one boosted, the base chance of hitting the boosted one on a leaf spin is roughly 1 in 23 per leaf type, which lines up with the observed 10.7% across both leaves. The distribution of the boost values in our data is heavily weighted to the low end.

Leaf boost	Share of leaf rounds (90 days)
3x	4.2%
4x	3.4%
5x	1.7%
7x	0.9%
10x	0.4%
No boost (1x)	89.3%

The median leaf result is 1x and the average is 1.35x. A 10x leaf shows up on about 1 leaf round in 250, so at 2,400 rounds a day the tracker records a handful of them every day, which is why a 10x leaf never appears in the highest-multipliers panel: fish results crowd it out.

What do the fish bonus panels show?

The distribution of the top multiplier in each fish bonus, and it is skewed in the same way every game-show bonus is: medians well below averages, averages well below the numbers players remember.

Fish	Published range	Median top multiplier	Average	90th percentile	Max (90 days)
Lil' Blues	3x-100x	8x	10.8x	21x	385x (2026-08-26)
Big Oranges	4x-200x	13x	18.3x	33x	385x (2026-06-04)
Huge Reds	10x-500x	23x	32.7x	49x	440x (2026-08-04)

The minimums we have logged are 3x, 4x and 10x, matching the published floors. The maximums above the published range exist because of the 2x to 10x pre-spin boost, which multiplies every fish value when the boosted fish is spun; a 385x Lil' Blues is a boost on top of a high base catch, not a bug in the feed.

The band breakdown on the bonus stats panel is the more useful view. Half of all Lil' Blues bonuses (49.2%) top out between 5x and 9x, and only 0.8% reach 50x. Big Oranges lands in the 10x to 19x band 43.0% of the time and clears 50x in 4.2% of bonuses. Huge Reds is the only fish where the 20x to 49x band is the biggest, at 55.3%, with 5.4% between 50x and 99x and 3.4% at 100x or more. Across all rounds in 90 days, 3,927 (2.7%) had a top multiplier of 20x or more, 449 (0.31%) reached 50x and 137 (0.09%) reached 100x. The mechanics of each fish game are in the bonus rounds guide.

The biggest catches panel ranks the outliers. Over 90 days the top five Huge Reds results were 440x on 4 August, 420x and 328x on 26 August, 400x on 2 June and 330x on 10 June, all in 2026. The 5,000x theoretical ceiling, a 500x fish with a 10x boost, has not come close to appearing.

How long do the fish stay away?

Longer than intuition suggests, and the speed of the game makes the waits feel shorter than they are in spins.

Fish	Expected gap (spins)	Observed average gap	Longest gap (90 days)
Lil' Blues	13.25	14	131
Big Oranges	26.5	30	248
Huge Reds	53	80	671

The drought tracker shows the current gap for each fish against these figures. A 671-spin run without Huge Reds is about five hours of continuous play. It is also exactly what a 1.89% event does from time to time: the chance of missing Huge Reds on 100 consecutive spins is 14.8%, and on 300 spins it is 0.3%, so across 145,339 spins there are plenty of chances for a long gap to occur somewhere. The gap tells you the wait has been long. It does not raise the 1.89% on the next spin by any amount.

The probability calculator is the tool to use instead. Enter a fish and a number of spins and it returns the chance of at least one hit, from the fixed 53-segment odds. Any fish in 20 spins comes out at 94.1% (the chance of none is 0.8679 to the power of 20, or 5.9%). Any fish in 50 spins is 99.92%. That is a forward-looking number precisely because it ignores history.

Which widgets look backward, and which looks forward?

Every panel except the probability calculator describes the past. That is not a criticism; it is what a results tracker is for.

The segment wheel and segment statistics show shares in the selected window against the 23/23/4/2/1 theory. Hot and cold lists which of the five results have landed above or below expectation recently; on a five-outcome wheel with two 43% results this mostly amounts to "which leaf is ahead", and neither leaf is more likely to continue. The streak detector reports runs of the same result and runs without a fish. With two leaves covering 86.79% of the wheel, a run of 15 leaf spins in a row is unremarkable, and the detector will find much longer ones in 392,156 rounds. The pattern finder searches for repeating sequences and, as in any long random series, finds them.

The heatmap by hour and day is mostly informative about volume, which for Ice Fishing is nearly constant. The fish rate by hour wanders around 13% with no time of day that pays better. If you find yourself planning a session around a "hot hour", the strategy guide covers why that plan cannot work.

What is missing from the data?

Three things: the boost-matched flag, per-player payouts, and any round the feed did not deliver.

The first is described above. The second is inherent: the feed reports the outcome of the wheel and the bonus, not what any individual bet paid, and operator caps on very large single wins (Evolution cites a cap of 500,000 per player per round, operator dependent) are outside what the feed sees. The third is the usual collector caveat. A feed pause or a restart on our side leaves a hole rather than an estimate, so if a day shows 1,900 rounds instead of 2,400 the likelier explanation is a gap in collection, not a pause in the studio.

There is also the question of which figures to attribute where. Segment counts, payouts, RTP (97.10% on the leaves) and the 5,000x maximum come from Evolution's published rules and the in-game help, with the Evolution game page as the reference. Everything observed comes from our own database, timestamped in UTC, first round 7 January 2026. Where we quote a "90-day" figure it is the window ending 2026-08-28.

How should I use these stats when I play?

As a description of variance, so that the size of a normal swing does not surprise you.

The most useful lines on the page are the fish gap table and the multiplier bands. They tell you that a Huge Reds bet can go several hundred spins without a hit and that when it does land, the median top multiplier is 23x rather than the 440x from the highlights. A player who budgets for that spends less than one who expects each fish to pay like the biggest catch on the panel. The how to play guide covers bet spots and the flow of a round if you are new to it.

Nothing on the page changes the house edge. Leaf bets return 97.10% and the fish bets a little under that, and no window setting, streak or gap moves those figures. At 2,400 rounds a day the game will also take a bankroll apart faster than a slower wheel, simply because more bets settle per hour. Set a limit before you open the table, and if the pace is pulling you into more spins than you planned, our observatory has tools for keeping sessions in check.

Frequently asked questions

How many rounds of Ice Fishing are played per day?

About 2,400. Ice Fishing is Evolution's speed game show, with a betting window of roughly 12 to 15 seconds and a full round of about 27 seconds from bets open to settlement. Our tracker logged 73,998 rounds in the last 30 days, which works out to just under 2,470 a day. The pace is fixed and the studio runs 24/7, so hourly round counts are nearly flat across the day.

What does the multiplier on the Ice Fishing tracker mean?

It is the highest multiplier that appeared in that round. On a leaf spin it is 1 for a plain even-money win or the boost value (3, 4, 5, 7 or 10) when the wheel stopped on the boosted segment. On a fish spin it is the largest fish multiplier awarded in the bonus, boost included. It is not what a typical player was paid and cannot be converted into a return percentage.

How often does Huge Reds hit in Ice Fishing?

Huge Reds is 1 segment of 53, so the theoretical hit rate is 1.89%, about once every 53 spins. Over the last 90 days our tracker recorded it on 1.25% of 145,339 rounds, 1,818 hits against an expected 2,745. The average observed gap was 80 spins and the longest was 671. The shortfall is noticeable but not evidence of anything beyond sampling variance.

What is the biggest Ice Fishing win recorded?

The largest result in our 90-day window was a 440x Huge Reds bonus on 4 August 2026, followed by 420x on 26 August, 400x on 2 June and 330x on 10 June. Lil' Blues and Big Oranges both peaked at 385x, on 26 August and 4 June. The theoretical maximum is 5,000x, a 500x Huge Reds fish with a 10x boost, and nothing near it has been logged.

Can I use Ice Fishing stats to predict the next spin?

No. The wheel has 53 fixed segments and each spin is independent, so the chance of a fish is 13.21% and the chance of Huge Reds is 1.89% whatever happened before. Our hot and cold, streak and pattern widgets describe past rounds only. The probability calculator is the one forward-looking tool, and it works because it uses the fixed segment odds rather than history.