Data Analysis
Power Blackjack Statistics
Comprehensive statistical analysis of hand distributions, win rates, and probabilities.
Core Statistics
42.4%
Player Win Rate
49.1%
Dealer Win Rate
8.5%
Push Rate
3.91%
Blackjack Rate
Modified Deck Statistics
With 9s and 10s removed, the deck composition changes dramatically:
| Card Value | Count/Deck | Probability | vs Standard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8.33% | +0.64% |
| 2-8 | 28 (4 each) | 58.33% | +4.49% |
| 9s | 0 | 0% | -7.69% |
| 10s | 0 | 0% | -7.69% |
| Face Cards (J/Q/K) | 12 | 25% | +1.92% |
Bust Probability Analysis
Modified deck significantly affects bust rates:
Player Bust Rates
Hit on 1225.0%
Hit on 1333.3%
Hit on 1441.7%
Hit on 1550.0%
Hit on 1658.3%
Dealer Bust by Upcard
Showing 232.1%
Showing 334.2%
Showing 436.5%
Showing 538.8%
Showing 640.2%
Power Double Statistics
Success rates for power doubling situations:
| Situation | Win Rate | Recommended | EV/Unit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 vs 5 | 67.2% | 4x | +0.344 |
| 11 vs 6 | 66.1% | 4x | +0.322 |
| 11 vs 4 | 64.3% | 4x | +0.286 |
| 10 vs 5 | 60.8% | 3x-4x | +0.216 |
| 11 vs 7 | 56.4% | 3x | +0.128 |
| 11 vs A | 52.1% | 2x | +0.042 |
Long-Term Expectations
What to expect over different sample sizes:
100 HandsHigh Variance
Results can vary wildly. Expect anywhere from -50% to +50% of total wagered.
1,000 HandsModerate Variance
Results start converging. Expected range: -5% to +3% of total wagered.
10,000 HandsLow Variance
Results approach theoretical. Expected: -1.5% to -0.9% of total wagered.
Key Stats
RTP98.80%
House Edge1.20%
BJ Frequency3.91%
Bust Rate23.2%
Data Insight
The modified deck creates 19% lower bust risk than standard blackjack, enabling more aggressive play. Use this to your advantage with smart power doubles.